Young is a high-floor prospect whose ability to read defenses and quickly process information should flatten his learning curve and help him reach his full potential in a hurry. Rushing 194 times, Charbonnet averaged a whopping 7.0 ypc for 1,358 yards (15th) with 14 touchdowns (T-14th). He is electric in space generating YAC, and he had no issues making the first guy miss, posting nearly 2,400 yards at UNC with Sam Howell and Drake Maye. They have a lot to do to surround him with enough pieces to be successful but he's a true franchise QB that can turn the Texans franchise around. In dynasty rookie drafts, Smith-Njigba figures to be a top-4 pick in 1QB leagues and a top-7 pick in superflex drafts. NFL Networks Tom Pelissero stated the Lions wouldve been comfortable taking him at No. Its a death sentence for DAndre Swift, who I would expect to be traded, but Gibbs can and likely will be what the Lions hoped Swift could be when they selected him in the second round out of Georgia. There is a very real chance he could jump Stroud for my dynasty QB1 after I have a few days to take this all in. He fights through contact mid-route, tracks the ball well, and has three-level speed. Command your entire draft with a dynamic tool synced to your league. Throughout this off-season, we saw a great deal of "analysis burnout" breaking down the 2022 rookies, in what was widely regarded as a weaker class. Of note, productive Illinois running back Chase Brown found a great home in Cincinnati, where he could emerge as the leader of the backfield depending on what happens with Joe Mixon this offseason. Check out the 2023 dynasty superflex rookie rankings. Los Angeles Chargers WR Quentin Johnston, 9. He helped carry TCU's offense despite clearly being the focal point in the passing game. Hes calm when the pocket gets messy, shows vast maturity when going through his progression, and can excel both on and off script inside and out of the pocket. Stroud for his more prototypical size, but Young is probably the safest of the rookie quarterbacks. As with all rankings, these will fluctuate as events unfold and as I give players a complete tape evaluation. Odds and lines subject to change. Comparing player values across the different offensive positions for fantasy football can be one of the toughest challenges facing managers as they look to reshape their dynasty rosters ahead of quickly approaching 2023 rookie drafts. Johnston could also be the next man up if Williams or Allen miss time due to injury. However, he has shown plus hands, posted a 92nd percentile grade in yards after contact per attempt, and ran a 4.58 40-yard dash at 60 and 219 pounds. Stroud. 1 pick based on his likely production from Day 1. Tyler Scott is a relatively raw prospect. This isnt a great year for talent in the draft, so we are looking for upside and Richardson is brimming with upside to go along with plenty of downside as well. In recent years . The first thing to know is that draft capital is a good indicator for how many chances a player will get. With that size comes natural power, which Miller has no issue handing out. That being said, Carolina already has a plan in place for it and spent the highest possible draft capital to acquire him (No. Regardless, Johnston should get his chances in what may be a high-powered Chargers offense. We use cookies to personalize ads, to provide social media features and to analyze our traffic. But its helpful to get a starting point before landing spots and draft capital enter the equation. Went higher than I anticipated but in a year without a lot of big-bodied high-upside WRs the Chargers took a swing on Johnston at 21. See how the rookies are valued in YOUR dynasty league. Jordan Addison went fourth in the late-1st WR run to Minnesota. Carolina Panthers (from CHI): QB - BRYCE YOUNG ; This will be the easiest pick of the 31 first-round selections. Kincaids execeptional pass-catching talents could make him immediately roster-worthy in redraft leagues, though the historical performance of rookie tight ends suggests that Kincaid should be considered a low-end TE2. Young doesnt have a rocket for an arm, but by no means is his arm strength a problem. Of course. That means we have a much better idea of where some of these players stand as far as possible playing time to start their careers. Check out the full NFL Draft profile for Dalton Kincaid to the Bills >>, Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Spotify | Google Podcasts | Stitcher | SoundCloud | iHeartRadio, Copyright 2010- FantasyPros.com Reed had three seasons of over 600 yards and five touchdowns and topped over 1,000 in 2021 with 10 touchdowns. He throws easily catchable passes, maximizing his receivers ability to make yardage after the catch. He is a classic better NFL than college player. Yes, Hooker did not go in the first, but according to reports, he would have been a first-round pick if not for the torn ACL. Brown also earned a high relative athletic score during his predraft testing, per Kent Lee Platte of Pro Football Network. In 1QB dynasty leagues, Kincaid is worth a late-first-round pick in rookie drafts. Also, his deep ball lacks consistency, which can be due to a combination of footwork and trajectory. Expect Robinson to have a first-round ADP in redraft leagues, where managers will be enthralled by his intoxicating skill set and the prospect of heavy-duty usage. Bijan Robinson is the best running back prospect weve seen come out of college since Saquon Barkley and is as complete of a back as you could ask for in todays modern game. One of them is Los Angeles Chargers wide receiver Quentin Johnston, who looks like a perfect fit in L.A. with quarterback Justin Herbert. Unsurprisingly, Bijan Robinson went first overall and he . Check out the full NFL Draft profile for Bijan Robinson to the Falcons >>. With dynasty managers stockpiling 2023 first-round picks, here is a way-too-early look at some of the top offensive prospects who will likely be at the top of 2023 draft boards. When it comes to awards, there is only one Oscars for the fantasy football industry. This information shapes the outlook for rookies in 2023 and beyond. As expected, the Carolina Panthers took Alabama quarterback Bryce Young first overall and after all the pre-draft smoke, the Houston Texans did in fact draft a quarterback in Ohio State's C.J. But Spears tipped the scales in Mobile at 510 and 190 pounds, which was higher than expected. But it's helpful to get a starting point before landing spots and draft capital enter the equation. He should hear his name called during Round 2 of the NFL Draft. Jared Smola gives all the details. That will air on the Fantasy Football Today YouTube page at 11 ET. Gibbs might not have Kamaras rare contact balance, but the comparisons are otherwise fair. Though it must be said Cousins is going to be 35, and his play on the field could begin to drop off in the relatively soon future. 4 spot will have to choose between Stroud and Gibbs for what best serves their needs. Consistency Ratings. Johnson forced a missed tackle on 45% of his carries over the last two seasons (No. Addison should be a mid-first-round pick in 1QB dynasty rookie drafts and a late-first-round pick in superflex drafts. Brown was an every-down back at Illinois, accumulating 355 touches in 2022 and 653 overall during his four years there. USC's Jordan Addison, TCU's Quentin Johnston, and Boston College's Zay Flowers are all expected to be mid-to-late first-round rookie picks. Stay tuned as time goes on and more rookie drafts are completed for the ADP to adjust. His NFL Combine numbers alone make fantasy managers and NFL GMs alike drool: 4.43 40-yard dash (1.53 10-yard split), 40.5 vertical, and 109 broad, giving him a perfect 10.00 RAS. 30) Sean Tucker, RB, Clemson, 31) Chase Brown, RB, Illinois Jahmyr Gibbs: 95th percentile. Where do C.J. We have reached the halfway point of the fantasy football points scoring season. I'm in the minority, but I would have gone with Stroud here. Herms is here to give you a list of prime dynasty trade targets to consider. The thing I think we need to realize, no matter what your opinion of the Quentin Johnston pick is, having a QB like Justin Herbert throwing to him is going to elevate Johnston a whole lot more coming from a team that had Max Duggan behind center. A 2021 Big Ten Offensive Player of the Year and two-time Heisman Trophy finalist, C.J. 47) Rakim Jarrett, WR, Maryland Updated: Apr 30, 2023 / 02:11 PM CDT. He also sat No. The NFL Combine is in the books and free agency is in full swing. In 1QB dynasty formats, Gibbs figures to be a top-4 rookie pick, with Bijan Robinson the only player certain to be taken earlier. Together, they allow Miller to force a missed tackle on 31% of his runs (67). A little undersized, he won 17.6% of his pass-rushing attempts and registered a tackle resulting in a defensive stop on 8.7% of his snaps in run defense. Are you looking to contact Customer Support about a subscription or account related question? We'll also be releasing 2023 NFL Draft . With that in mind, here's a look at a top-25 dynasty rookie ranking list, with a focus on projecting their production over the next four years (the length of a non-first-round rookie contract). Unfortunately, his stats likely dont stand up to others in this class. Spears continuously makes defenders miss in the open field and brings legitimate home-run speed. He returned to play in the final four games but saw varying usage, catching 59 of his 79 targets (74.7% catch rate) for 875 yards (2.78 YPRR, 7.0 YAC/R) with eight touchdowns this season. But for now, check out the top 36 (1-QB)overall dynasty rookie rankings-- plus: Rookie QB rankingsRookieRB rankingsRookieWR rankingsRookie TE rankings. Embed from Getty Imageswindow.gie=window.gie||function(c){(gie.q=gie.q||[]).push(c)};gie(function(){gie.widgets.load({id:'hIOtWeQ7SItqiOWmc0SeCA',sig:'DCuQuaCNVblKgYtUuRdJW1emNTJ27VS4H57XpOHrby0=',w:'594px',h:'396px',items:'1485919523',caption: true ,tld:'com',is360: false })}); Slid a bit further than I expected and I don't love how crowded the depth chart is at WR in Seattle. 12, which was much earlier than he was expected to go in the draft? When you think about Johnston, this is even more impressive. Its clear Detroit loves him, and you can see it in the video from their draft room. 59) Dorian Thompson-Robinson, QB, UCLA Anthony Richardson has the highest ceiling of any QB in this class. Kincaid was never going to be an inline TE. Views: 75,294. They just gave a decent amount of money to David Montgomery and still have D'Andre Swift in the fold. 58) Camerun Peoples, RB, Appalachian State If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER (1-800-426-2537) (CO/IL/IN/LA/MD/MI/NJ/OH/PA/TN/WV/WY), 1-800-NEXT STEP (AZ), 1-800-522-4700 (KS/NH), 888-789-7777/visit ccpg.org (CT), 1-800-BETS OFF (IA), visit OPGR.org (OR), or 1-888-532-3500(VA). But for a guy his size, Johnston has a surprising level of burst and acceleration. This is our final pre-draft update of the dynasty rookie rankings. This was evident by his ridiculous 2022 season, where Hyatt recorded 15 touchdowns on 67 receptions for 1,267 yards. Here's an overview of the Top 10 (in no particular order), as a whole, broken down by a quick-hit role/projection: Difference Maker: Michael Mayer. Addison can win many different ways despite his thin frame. I love the Chargers' selection of WR Quentin Johnston.
Johnston brings the deep speed Los Angeles needed. 2 in EPA/rush and No. video for Is there really no failure in sports? Hall of Fame wideout Andre Reed is a fan, too. He outperformed many WRs who are projected to go ahead of him in the draft, but Reed is 511 and 187 pounds of pure production. 1 overall pick, should have every opportunity to shine for the Carolina Panthers. 5 overall in my 2023 dynasty rookie rankings. Granted, Stroud was blessed with an embarrassment of pass-catching riches at Ohio State, including WRs Garrett Wilson, Chris Olave, Jaxon Smith-Njigba and Marvin Harrison Jr. Hes a brutal assignment for a would-be tackler at 61 and 220. More From Underdog Dynasty. 2023 PPR Rankings. Flowers fights on every play and could be a YAC monster out of the slot. 25) Jonathan Mingo, WR, Ole Miss Hes only 5-11 and 173 pounds, and his athleticism is ordinary at best. The long-awaited 2023 NFL draft is now over, and a host of talented offensive players have found new homes as they get set to embark on their professional careers. Downs is a footwork king with an inherent ability to get open, which is the ultimate decider for future success. But we can also make some deductions based on their team fits and collegiate profiles. Copyright 2019-2023. Our first rookie-only mock of 2023 was a two-round Superflex mock completed on Monday. Chase Brown was drafted with pick 163 of round 5 in the 2023 . Richardsons rushing potential alone gives him a chance to develop into a top-10 overall fantasy quarterback. He backed it up with an even more efficient season in 2022. Next up for many will be dynasty rookie drafts. Fantasy Football 2023: Dynasty Rookie Rankings, 1st-Round Mock After NFL Draft . Hes also surprisingly agile out of inward routes like slants when he sells the outside move. Jordan Addison's profile for the 2023 draft class will be exceptional. The fact he got top-four draft capital is all I needed to see and was the final missing piece of the evaluation. He runs behind his pads and will lay the wood. According to NFL Insider Albert Breer, The Bills were said to be looking for a replacement for Cole Beasley in the slot. That I do not know, but it could be coming in the next few rounds. Woof the difference between reading the answer and hearing it is astounding . Check out our 2023 NFL Draft Big Board to see the best of what's left! 29) DeWayne McBride, RB, UAB 55) Trey Palmer, WR, Nebraska The rookie rankings will change after the NFL Draft, of course. Scoring Leaders. We will likely see a few more in Round 1 due to the premium real-life NFL . Addison simply knows how to get open, and he should offer a sturdy fantasy floor for years to come. KANSAS CITY, Mo. C.H. But for now, check out the top 36 (1-QB) overall dynasty rookie rankings-- plus: We now enter the 2023 NFL Draft class with hopes of a fresh infusion of talent. Check out the full NFL Draft profile for Jaxon Smith-Njigba to the Seahawks >>. Check out the full NFL Draft profile for Bryce Young to the Panthers >>. Heres what Fitz expects for each of the Round 1 skill position players selected in the 2023 NFL Draft. Yet, he is a technician and a player you put the tape on when teaching someone how to play the position. Check out the full NFL Draft profile for C.J. Smith-Njigba was phenomenal in his sophomore season at Ohio State in 2021, catching 95 passes for 1,606 yards and 9 touchdowns while sharing targets with Garrett Wilson and Chris Olave. 38) Parker Washington, WR, Penn State Those deeply ingrained in the dynasty fantasy football world know there is no true offseason, and with what has already been a chaotic 2023 offseason underway, we have the first post-2023 NFL Draft update following the first round, which had mixed results on the rookie landscape.. As with all rankings, these will fluctuate as events unfold and as I give players a complete tape evaluation. After months of waiting, we finally know where the 2023 NFL Draft class will land. 42) Eric Gray, RB, Oklahoma It is time to start looking to the 2023 rookie draft. I always recommend using tiers rather than straight rankings this time of year. The Cowboys decided to go with defensive end Mazi Smith next, instead of Notre Dame tight end Michael Mayer. Not only does Richardson have blazing speed, but he also has a powerful right arm capable of making every thrown an NFL offensive coordinator would ever ask him to make. He has excelled both in the slot and on the outside. I've been lower on Young for dynasty than the consensus the whole way and that will continue to be the case after this pick. But his dynamism is obvious. 34) Luke Musgrave, TE, Oregon State But when I saw him go to Baltimore, even though they locked up Lamar Jackson, I could only hang my head. Seattle Seahawks WR Jaxon Smith-Njigba, Honorable Mentions: Buffalo Bills TE Dalton Kincaid, Carolina Panthers WR Jonathan Mingo, Indianapolis Colts QB Anthony Richardson, Seattle Seahawks RB Zach Charbonnet. There was a great deal of predraft speculation that Strouds stock was falling, possibly due to a reportedly low score on the S2 cognitive test, which is designed to measure an athletes capacity for information processing and quick decision-making. Hyatt has legit low-end 4.3 speed and could even hit 4.2s at his pro day. But what makes him special is how he stays in DBs blindspots like a mirror match to Antonio Brown. Were going to have you covered throughout and following the 2023 NFL Draft to help you prepare for your fantasy football leagues. Pro Football Network, LLC. Whether you possess the first pick in the draft, the last, or a combination of selections, the talent quality and depth of each class is unique, with unique opportunities. With a few more tweaks to his game, Reed has the makings of a great NFL receiver. You can basically copy and paste the Levis comments here but for a slightly different reason. Bijan RobinsonJahmyr GibbsZach CharbonnetZach EvansDevon AchaneTyjae SpearsTank BigsbyIsrael AbanikandaKendre MillerRoschon JohnsonSean Tucker, Jaxon Smith-NjigbaJordan AddisonQuentin JohnstonJosh DownsJalin HyattZay FlowersJayden ReedMarvin MimsCedric TillmanKayshon BoutteJonathan MingoTyler Scott, Dalton KincaidLuke MusgraveDarnell WashingtonMichael MayerSam LaPorta. Thats not an easy decision, given the QB premium of Superflex formats. He was the QB1 for me so I love this pick for the Texans. Additionally, Stroud seemed more impacted by pressure or dirty pockets than Young, and in the NFL, dealing with pressure needs to be second nature. Smith-Njigba is still a worthy dynasty investment, but his rookie-year production might be modest. Could have some up-and-downs as the Texans build for the future but he's an 18-24 game breakout candidate like Trevor Lawrence. It's assumed that he'll land in Carolina with new head coach Frank Reich. Then we averaged them out to get a composite list. Mock Draft Lobby. 3 WR in this class. Its not speed or size its separation. Until he is down on the ground, hes still a threat for additional yards. While I do expect to see them both go relatively early in Round 2 and likely very near each other, the fact it is outside the first round is all I needed to see. Jake Witt was chosen by the Colts with the 19th selection of the seventh round, the 236th selection overall. He is a true move tight end and isnt going to succeed if hes asked to play in-line and try to block NFL edge defenders. Predicting how these wide receivers will do is tough. Durability could be an issue for a quarterback that small, although Young only missed one game in his final two seasons at Alabama. If he had come out last year as was initially expected, Charbonnet would have been the RB3 in last years class behind Breece Hall and Kenneth Walker III. Quentin Johnston's going to be a game changer! Check out the full NFL Draft profile for Jordan Addison to the Vikings >>. He might be the best in the class, hauling in 13 of 18 contested-catch attempts last year. He has rushed for less than four yards per carry in two of the past three seasons, including 3.9 yards per carry in 2022. Irrelevant of the 2023 NFL Draft! In dynasty leagues, Stroud figures to be a top-4 pick in superflex formats. Downs is smooth in all facets of his game, from the way he strides to his routes and how he receives the ball its as smooth as 12-year-old scotch. Even if hes used in a way intended to leverage his pass-catching skills, part-time duty would lower Kincaids fantasy ceiling. 39) Evan Hull, RB, Northwestern I did not see him going ahead of Michael Mayer, but needless to say, I am all in on Buffalos new offensive weapon. Addison will fill the role vacated by Adam Thielen and step in as the No. The Buffalo Bills added the lone tight end on Day 1 in Dalton Kincaid, jumping over the Dallas Cowboys. With a 27.2% missed tackle rate and a 32.4% 10+ yard carry rate, Spears is considered a discounted Achane but, at this point, has actually flipped in value. Gibbs will be a coveted asset in dynasty leagues, even though hes going to share work with Swift. Well get together post-draft to hash out a unified set of rankings for your rookie drafts. But again, the target logjam in Seattle is going to be an issue. Mike Williams and Keenan Allen are far from pillars of health so he could have an opportunity with Herbert sooner rather than later. MORE: What Is Devy Dynasty Fantasy Football? And while Geno Smith showed last year that hes a competent starter, hes probably not good enough to make three different receivers every-week fantasy starters. The landing spot is great, too, not that it matters much. Earlier in the draft process, Stroud was the betting favorite to be taken No. This assumes first-round capital for both + they maintain their current production profile. All the tools are there for him to become a star in the NFL. They were No. However, we have a new 1.01 in 2023 dynasty Superflex rookie drafts. 3 in success rate, first downs/rush, and TDs/rush. The Bills werent thought to be in the TE market in this years draft at least not in the first round but they made an aggressive move to trade up two spots (leapfrogging the TE-hungry Cowboys in the process) and draft Dalton Kincaid, whos widely considered to be the best pass-catching tight end in the Class of 2023. 26) Cedric Tillman, WR, Tennessee He was one of the best players in the country in the slot, receivers included. He averaged just 3.5 yards per carry outside a monster game against the Carolina Panthers where he had 211 total yards and five scores. But did the top Fantasy Football prospects land in prime Dynasty spots? Thats where the connection to Josh Downs, who I believe they liked, was made. Indianapolis is arguably the second-best landing spot outside of Detroit for Richardson, who joins a team with massive bodies at pass catcher with Michael Pittman Jr., Jelani Woods, and Alec Pierce. We'll see what it does to his NFL Draft stock, but he's obviously an extremely risky pick if you're drafting ahead of the NFL Draft. Apr 4, 2023 at 2:35 pm ET 2 min read. This is a low-volume passing game, and Flowers, even if he can maximize his targets, will be impacted by the offensive scheme. 49) Chris Rodriguez Jr., RB, Kentucky We'll get together post-draft to hash out a unified set of dynasty rookie rankings for your draft. Gambling Problem? 37) Sam LaPorta, TE, Iowa Tyler Allgeier sorry, buddy. Jordan Addison is currently my No. There isnt one that feels like a lock to be great, which was seen by how far they fell in the draft. The Bengals' starting running back of the future may be Illinois' Chase Brown, a Doak Walker Award finalist who amassed 1,883 yards from scrimmage and 13 scores last year. In the heat of a draft, you want as much intel as possible. With Samaje Perine now a Denver Bronco after leaving in free agency, the door is open for Brown to take his spot behind Mixon and assume the mantle as RB1 in the near future. 44) Mohamed Ibrahim, RB, Minnesota 11 in my post-first-round Superflex fantasy football dynasty rankings. 1 Overall, Follow With Jonathan Mingo in Round 2, Quarterbacks Drafted in the 2023 NFL Draft. He completed only 53.8% of his passes in his one season as a starter at the University of Florida. Bijan is going to play a huge role in that. Dont be surprised if he is the steal of the second round. His supporting cast with the Texans wont be very exciting early on, with Nico Collins his top veteran wide receiver, so dont expect strong numbers in Year 1. Sadly, without a trade, I think make D'Andre Swift dreams are dead as long as he's a Lion. Mismatch Problem, Impact Player: Dalton . Allen is getting older, and Williams might not be with the Chargers for more than another year, but those two veterans will impede Johnstons path to fantasy value in 2023. Feels like the NFL thinks so, and thats despite Johnson rushing just 93 times last season. What is not up for debate is Gibbs athleticism, with a 4.36 40 time and a 33.5 vert. FantasyPros college football and NFL Draft analyst Thor Nystrom calls Stroud the new-age prototype of a pocket-passer. The 6-3, 214-pound Stroud is a mechanically consistent and uncommonly accurate passer who can fit throws into tight windows and hit the bulls-eye on deeper passes. The 5-11, 215-pound Robinson is big enough to manage a heavy workload, yet he has the agility of a 190-pound scatback. Tobin on Mixon being on the roster next year. But he might hold sneaky dynasty fantasy football value. (Not a knock on Duggan.) The meteoric rise of Zay Flowers was so fun to be a part of, as his skillset is undeniable. There is more than just the ACL, though. video for When should Pirates fans buy into this team? Johnston will be fighting with Josh Palmer for targets in the beginning, but Johnston is the future of the position for Herbert and the Chargers. The 2022 Biletnikoff Award winner, Jalin Hyatt dominated for Tennessee as the primary playmaker for QB Hendon Hooker. Gibbs has frequently been compared to Alvin Kamara, whose speed, agility and pass catching made him an impact fantasy performer upon his NFL arrival. The talent usually wins out but it could be frustrating to own him early on. Marvin Mims is a potential star in the making. Bit of a surprise here, but he's going to have an incredible opportunity in this offense. RB coaches around the NFL are pounding the table for Johnson, and even with the devaluation of the position, hes receiving Day 2 grades. As a pure passer, Bryce Young has a leg up on Stroud. With Johnston landing on the Chargers, hell be paired with Justin Herbert, one of the best young quarterbacks in the game. The Chargers are under new offensive leadership, with Kellen Moore coming over from the Dallas Cowboys as the new offensive coordinator. Miller is incredibly light on his feet and has an arsenal of weapons, from jukes to spin moves or even the hurdle. Arguably the best RB prospect to enter the NFL since Saquon Barkley was drafted No. Mr. If you have a rookie dynasty draft coming up, check out our rookie rankings here.
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